2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 11:30 PM · CEFCU Stadium
Nevada @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
Nevada
23.5
San José State
30.6
San José State win probability: 67%
Margin (San José State − Nevada): 7.1 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Nevada 31 – San José State 35 (margin error 3.1, total error 11.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.