Predicted scoreLikely
Nevada
20.1
UCLA
29.8
UCLA win probability: 73%
Margin (UCLA − Nevada): 9.8 (80% range -10 to 30)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:07 PM | 9.7 | 49.9 | 73% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:04 PM | 9.8 | 49.9 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:29 PM | 9.8 | 49.9 | 73% |