Predicted scoreLikely
Nevada
20.9
UNLV
34.3
UNLV win probability: 80%
Margin (UNLV − Nevada): 13.5 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:11 PM | 13.5 | 55.1 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:14 PM | 13.5 | 55.2 | 80% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:45 PM | 13.5 | 55.2 | 80% |