Predicted scoreToss-up
Minnesota
28.5
Rutgers
24.6
Rutgers win probability: 40%
Margin (Rutgers − Minnesota): -3.9 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Minnesota 19 – Rutgers 26 (margin error 10.9, total error 8.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.