Predicted scoreToss-up
Minnesota
27.2
Purdue
26.7
Purdue win probability: 49%
Margin (Purdue − Minnesota): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Minnesota 30 – Purdue 49 (margin error 19.5, total error 25.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.