2023 Postseason · Dec 26, 2023, 7:00 PM · Ford Field (neutral site)

Bowling Green @ Minnesota

Predicted scoreConfident

Bowling Green

13.7

Minnesota

34.2

Minnesota win probability: 91%

Margin (Minnesota − Bowling Green): 20.5 (80% range 0 to 41)

Total: 47.9 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Bowling Green 24 – Minnesota 30 (margin error 14.5, total error 6.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.