2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 9:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Minnesota @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Minnesota
16.2
Ohio State
38.2
Ohio State win probability: 92%
Margin (Ohio State − Minnesota): 22.0 (80% range 1 to 42)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Minnesota 3 – Ohio State 37 (margin error 12.0, total error 14.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.