Predicted scoreToss-up
Minnesota
26.4
Purdue
25.2
Purdue win probability: 47%
Margin (Purdue − Minnesota): -1.2 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:23 PM | -1.2 | 51.6 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:21 PM | -1.2 | 51.7 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:24 PM | -1.2 | 51.6 | 47% |