Predicted scoreLean
UCLA
22.7
Minnesota
26.7
Minnesota win probability: 60%
Margin (Minnesota − UCLA): 4.0 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 49.5 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:17 PM | 4.0 | 49.5 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:18 PM | 4.0 | 49.5 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:53 PM | 4.0 | 49.5 | 60% |