2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 7:30 PM · Huntington Bank Stadium
Mississippi State @ Minnesota
Predicted scoreToss-up
Mississippi State
24.0
Minnesota
27.0
Minnesota win probability: 57%
Margin (Minnesota − Mississippi State): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:24 PM | 2.8 | 51.0 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:28 PM | 2.9 | 51.1 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:31 PM | 2.9 | 51.0 | 57% |