Predicted scoreConfident
Minnesota
11.9
Indiana
39.8
Indiana win probability: 97%
Margin (Indiana − Minnesota): 27.8 (80% range 7 to 49)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 30 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 1.13% |
| 10 | 38 | 1.00% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.93% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:59 PM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:08 PM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:14 PM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |