Predicted scoreConfident
Minnesota
12.3
Indiana
37.0
Indiana win probability: 95%
Margin (Indiana − Minnesota): 24.7 (80% range 4 to 45)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.88% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:59 PM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:08 PM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:14 PM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:35 AM | 27.8 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:38 PM | 27.9 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:56 PM | 27.4 | 51.4 | 96% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:14 PM | 28.8 | 51.4 | 97% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:14 PM | 31.6 | 51.9 | 98% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:50 PM | 31.6 | 51.9 | 98% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:11 PM | 31.7 | 52.1 | 98% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:39 PM | 31.7 | 52.1 | 98% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:40 PM | 23.9 | 51.6 | 94% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:07 PM | 23.6 | 50.3 | 94% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:50 PM | 24.5 | 49.4 | 95% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:26 PM | 24.7 | 49.4 | 95% |