Predicted scoreToss-up
Wisconsin
22.7
UCLA
23.2
UCLA win probability: 51%
Margin (UCLA − Wisconsin): 0.5 (80% range -18 to 20)
Total: 45.9 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:39 PM | 0.6 | 47.1 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:42 PM | 0.6 | 47.1 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:49 PM | 0.5 | 45.9 | 51% |