2026 Week 1 · Sep 6, 2026, 11:30 PM · Lambeau Field (neutral site)
Wisconsin @ Notre Dame
Predicted scoreConfident
Wisconsin
14.4
Notre Dame
32.2
Notre Dame win probability: 88%
Margin (Notre Dame − Wisconsin): 17.9 (80% range -1 to 38)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 26 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.81% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:12 PM | 17.8 | 46.4 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:21 PM | 17.9 | 46.5 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:18 PM | 17.9 | 46.6 | 88% |