Predicted scoreToss-up
Wisconsin
26.1
Purdue
22.9
Purdue win probability: 42%
Margin (Purdue − Wisconsin): -3.2 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:52 PM | -3.2 | 50.2 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:52 PM | -3.2 | 49.0 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:26 PM | -3.2 | 49.1 | 42% |