Predicted scoreToss-up
Wisconsin
22.4
Maryland
23.4
Maryland win probability: 53%
Margin (Maryland − Wisconsin): 1.1 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 45.8 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:30 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:39 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:52 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |