Predicted scoreLikely
Wisconsin
28.1
Maryland
19.3
Maryland win probability: 29%
Margin (Maryland − Wisconsin): -8.8 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 47.3 (80% range 26 to 70)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.94% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:30 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:39 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:52 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:49 AM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:28 PM | 1.1 | 45.8 | 53% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:48 PM | 1.3 | 46.2 | 54% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:58 PM | 0.6 | 47.2 | 52% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:52 PM | 4.9 | 47.2 | 63% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:51 PM | 4.9 | 47.2 | 63% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:00 PM | 5.1 | 47.2 | 63% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:38 PM | 5.1 | 47.2 | 63% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:36 PM | -8.4 | 47.2 | 29% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:56 PM | -10.1 | 46.3 | 25% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:42 PM | -8.1 | 46.7 | 30% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:19 PM | -8.8 | 47.3 | 29% |