Predicted scoreConfident
USC
19.7
Indiana
38.4
Indiana win probability: 88%
Margin (Indiana − USC): 18.7 (80% range -2 to 40)
Total: 58.2 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:28 PM | 18.8 | 58.2 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:31 PM | 18.7 | 58.2 | 88% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:35 PM | 18.7 | 58.2 | 88% |