Predicted scoreLikely
Maryland
20.2
USC
36.4
USC win probability: 84%
Margin (USC − Maryland): 16.2 (80% range -4 to 37)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:56 PM | 16.2 | 56.6 | 84% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:51 PM | 16.2 | 56.5 | 84% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:27 PM | 16.2 | 56.5 | 84% |