Predicted scoreConfident
Louisiana
14.7
USC
38.5
USC win probability: 94%
Margin (USC − Louisiana): 23.8 (80% range 4 to 44)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.92% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:29 PM | 23.8 | 53.2 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:34 PM | 23.8 | 53.2 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:53 PM | 23.8 | 53.2 | 94% |