2023 Week 12 · Nov 19, 2023, 3:30 AM · CEFCU Stadium
San Diego State @ San José State
Predicted scoreLikely
San Diego State
22.0
San José State
31.6
San José State win probability: 73%
Margin (San José State − San Diego State): 9.5 (80% range -10 to 30)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: San Diego State 13 – San José State 24 (margin error 1.5, total error 16.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.