San Diego State

Pac-12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Colorado State	28.2–24.2	40%
Week 9	vs Washington State	22.9–20.3	43%
Week 11	vs Utah State	25.6–21.2	39%
Week 12	@ Boise State	34.8–15.5	10%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Portland State	20–53	—	—
Week 2	@ UCLA	28–10	26.3–22.0	13.7
Week 3	vs James Madison	26–13	26.4–23.5	10.0
Week 4	@ Toledo	41–16	25.8–22.1	21.3
Week 5	vs Texas State	29–31	28.7–26.3	4.4
Week 6	@ Oregon State	66–14	28.9–20.2	43.3
Week 7	vs Fresno State	23–26	26.2–19.1	10.1