2026 Week 8 · Oct 25, 2026, 1:30 AM · Canvas Stadium
San Diego State @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
San Diego State
26.4
Colorado State
22.9
Colorado State win probability: 41%
Margin (Colorado State − San Diego State): -3.4 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:44 PM | -3.5 | 49.4 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:57 PM | -3.5 | 49.4 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:58 PM | -3.4 | 49.3 | 41% |