San Diego State
Pac-12
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Washington State | 36–13 | 34.1–20.1 | 9.0 |
| Week 4 | vs California | 0–34 | 28.2–23.7 | 38.5 |
| Week 5 | @ Northern Illinois | 3–6 | 25.3–22.5 | 5.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Colorado State | 24–45 | 21.7–23.7 | 19.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Nevada | 10–44 | 22.4–26.3 | 30.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Fresno State | 0–23 | 23.3–24.2 | 22.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Wyoming | 7–24 | 19.7–24.7 | 12.0 |
| Week 11 | @ Hawai'i | 38–6 | 24.6–25.7 | 33.1 |
| Week 12 | vs Boise State | 7–17 | 24.6–22.4 | 12.2 |
| Week 13 | vs San José State | 3–25 | 21.2–28.7 | 14.5 |
| Week 14 | @ New Mexico | 23–17 | 26.0–23.3 | 3.3 |
| Week 1 | vs North Texas | 49–47 | 31.7–24.4 | 5.3 |