2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 2:30 AM · Snapdragon Stadium

Colorado State @ San Diego State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Colorado State

21.7

San Diego State

23.7

San Diego State win probability: 55%

Margin (San Diego State − Colorado State): 1.9 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 45.4 (80% range 24 to 68)

Actual: Colorado State 24 – San Diego State 45 (margin error 19.1, total error 23.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.