2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 3:30 AM · Snapdragon Stadium

San José State @ San Diego State

Predicted scoreLean

San José State

21.2

San Diego State

28.7

San Diego State win probability: 69%

Margin (San Diego State − San José State): 7.5 (80% range -12 to 28)

Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: San José State 3 – San Diego State 25 (margin error 14.5, total error 21.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.