2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 3:30 AM · Snapdragon Stadium
San José State @ San Diego State
Predicted scoreLean
San José State
21.2
San Diego State
28.7
San Diego State win probability: 69%
Margin (San Diego State − San José State): 7.5 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: San José State 3 – San Diego State 25 (margin error 14.5, total error 21.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.