San Diego State
Pac-12
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Ohio | 13–20 | 24.2–29.3 | 1.9 |
| Week 2 | vs UCLA | 35–10 | 32.1–21.2 | 14.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Oregon State | 26–9 | 32.9–17.2 | 1.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Boise State | 34–31 | 27.4–24.1 | 0.4 |
| Week 5 | @ Air Force | 49–10 | 30.4–21.5 | 30.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Hawai'i | 34–41 | 27.1–29.6 | 4.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Nevada | 6–0 | 24.6–27.1 | 8.6 |
| Week 10 | vs Utah State | 32–24 | 26.1–26.4 | 8.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Colorado State | 22–19 | 23.5–24.3 | 3.9 |
| Week 12 | @ San José State | 24–13 | 31.6–22.0 | 1.5 |
| Week 13 | vs Fresno State | 18–33 | 29.8–22.1 | 22.7 |