2023 Week 7 · Oct 15, 2023, 3:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

San Diego State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreToss-up

San Diego State

29.6

Hawai'i

27.1

Hawai'i win probability: 44%

Margin (Hawai'i − San Diego State): -2.5 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 56.7 (80% range 34 to 82)

Actual: San Diego State 41 – Hawai'i 34 (margin error 4.5, total error 18.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.