2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 7:30 PM · Reser Stadium
San Diego State @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreLikely
San Diego State
17.2
Oregon State
32.9
Oregon State win probability: 84%
Margin (Oregon State − San Diego State): 15.7 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: San Diego State 9 – Oregon State 26 (margin error 1.3, total error 15.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.