2023 Week 1 · Aug 26, 2023, 11:00 PM · Snapdragon Stadium
Ohio @ San Diego State
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio
24.2
San Diego State
29.3
San Diego State win probability: 63%
Margin (San Diego State − Ohio): 5.1 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: Ohio 13 – San Diego State 20 (margin error 1.9, total error 20.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.