2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 11:00 PM · Snapdragon Stadium

Utah State @ San Diego State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Utah State

26.1

San Diego State

26.4

San Diego State win probability: 51%

Margin (San Diego State − Utah State): 0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Utah State 32 – San Diego State 24 (margin error 8.3, total error 3.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.