2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 11:00 PM · Snapdragon Stadium
Washington State @ San Diego State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington State
22.9
San Diego State
20.3
San Diego State win probability: 43%
Margin (San Diego State − Washington State): -2.6 (80% range -21 to 17)
Total: 43.2 (80% range 23 to 65)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:05 PM | -0.3 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:10 PM | -0.3 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:39 PM | -0.3 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:38 AM | -0.3 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:20 PM | -0.4 | 45.4 | 49% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:18 PM | 0.1 | 46.1 | 50% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:43 PM | 1.3 | 44.2 | 53% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:54 PM | -0.0 | 42.9 | 50% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:31 PM | 0.0 | 42.8 | 50% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:01 PM | 0.2 | 42.9 | 50% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:30 PM | 0.2 | 42.9 | 50% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:30 PM | -0.9 | 42.3 | 48% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:00 PM | 0.9 | 41.1 | 52% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:40 PM | -3.4 | 40.6 | 41% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:17 PM | -2.6 | 43.2 | 43% |