2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:15 PM · Rose Bowl
San Diego State @ UCLA
Predicted scoreToss-up
San Diego State
23.7
UCLA
25.7
UCLA win probability: 55%
Margin (UCLA − San Diego State): 1.9 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 49.4 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:28 PM | 2.1 | 49.2 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:31 PM | 2.0 | 49.3 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:44 PM | 1.9 | 49.4 | 55% |