2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 11:00 PM · CEFCU Stadium
Utah State @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
Utah State
28.2
San José State
33.0
San José State win probability: 61%
Margin (San José State − Utah State): 4.7 (80% range -17 to 26)
Total: 61.2 (80% range 36 to 87)
Actual: Utah State 21 – San José State 42 (margin error 16.3, total error 1.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.55% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.55% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.