2023 Week 9 · Oct 29, 2023, 3:59 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

San José State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLikely

San José State

35.1

Hawai'i

26.3

Hawai'i win probability: 30%

Margin (Hawai'i − San José State): -8.8 (80% range -31 to 12)

Total: 61.4 (80% range 37 to 87)

Actual: San José State 35 – Hawai'i 0 (margin error 26.2, total error 26.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.