2023 Postseason · Dec 24, 2023, 3:30 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (neutral site)

Coastal Carolina @ San José State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Coastal Carolina

26.7

San José State

29.3

San José State win probability: 56%

Margin (San José State − Coastal Carolina): 2.6 (80% range -18 to 24)

Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 81)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 24 – San José State 14 (margin error 12.6, total error 18.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.