2023 Week 6 · Oct 8, 2023, 12:00 AM · Albertsons Stadium

San José State @ Boise State

Predicted scoreLean

San José State

26.5

Boise State

32.4

Boise State win probability: 64%

Margin (Boise State − San José State): 5.9 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 85)

Actual: San José State 27 – Boise State 35 (margin error 2.1, total error 3.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.