2026 Week 1 · Sep 4, 2026, 10:30 PM · Rynearson Stadium
San José State @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
San José State
25.7
Eastern Michigan
29.7
Eastern Michigan win probability: 60%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − San José State): 4.1 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:07 PM | 4.0 | 55.3 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:12 PM | 3.8 | 55.2 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:25:51 PM | 4.1 | 55.4 | 60% |