2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 1:00 AM · Maverik Stadium
San José State @ Utah State
Predicted scoreToss-up
San José State
27.1
Utah State
31.0
Utah State win probability: 59%
Margin (Utah State − San José State): 4.0 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 58.1 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: San José State 25 – Utah State 30 (margin error 1.0, total error 3.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.