2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 11:00 PM · CEFCU Stadium
Air Force @ San José State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Air Force
28.1
San José State
32.1
San José State win probability: 60%
Margin (San José State − Air Force): 4.0 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 60.2 (80% range 35 to 87)
Actual: Air Force 26 – San José State 16 (margin error 14.0, total error 18.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.