2025 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2025, 3:30 AM · CEFCU Stadium
Fresno State @ San José State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Fresno State
24.7
San José State
23.2
San José State win probability: 46%
Margin (San José State − Fresno State): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Fresno State 41 – San José State 14 (margin error 25.5, total error 7.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.