2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 2:30 AM · CEFCU Stadium
Central Michigan @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
Central Michigan
22.6
San José State
30.1
San José State win probability: 68%
Margin (San José State − Central Michigan): 7.5 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Central Michigan 16 – San José State 14 (margin error 9.5, total error 22.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.