2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 4:00 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

San José State @ Texas

Predicted scoreConfident

San José State

11.7

Texas

42.1

Texas win probability: 97%

Margin (Texas − San José State): 30.5 (80% range 10 to 52)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 77)

Actual: San José State 7 – Texas 38 (margin error 0.5, total error 8.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.