2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 4:00 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
San José State @ Texas
Predicted scoreConfident
San José State
11.7
Texas
42.1
Texas win probability: 97%
Margin (Texas − San José State): 30.5 (80% range 10 to 52)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: San José State 7 – Texas 38 (margin error 0.5, total error 8.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 0.98% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.89% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.82% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.