Predicted scoreConfident
Hawai'i
19.8
Arizona
37.6
Arizona win probability: 86%
Margin (Arizona − Hawai'i): 17.8 (80% range -3 to 39)
Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Hawai'i 6 – Arizona 40 (margin error 16.2, total error 11.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.68% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.