2025 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2025, 3:59 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Sam Houston @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreToss-up

Sam Houston

27.4

Hawai'i

28.7

Hawai'i win probability: 53%

Margin (Hawai'i − Sam Houston): 1.3 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Sam Houston 20 – Hawai'i 37 (margin error 15.7, total error 0.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.