Sam Houston

Conference USA

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs New Mexico State	27.4–24.3	42%
Week 9	@ Missouri State	27.8–22.5	37%
Week 10	@ Jacksonville State	31.2–23.3	32%
Week 11	vs Kennesaw State	26.6–24.2	44%
Week 12	vs Middle Tennessee	25.6–27.6	55%
Week 13	@ Florida International	28.4–17.4	23%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Troy	24–21	31.8–17.5	11.4
Week 2	vs Tulsa	23–17	28.6–25.6	3.0
Week 3	vs Nicholls	0–59	—	—
Week 4	@ Texas Tech	49–14	42.6–11.2	3.6
Week 6	@ Liberty	35–3	33.2–21.1	19.9
Week 7	vs Western Kentucky	16–3	27.0–24.9	10.9