2026 Week 10 · Nov 8, 2026, 12:00 AM · AmFirst Stadium
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
18.5
Jacksonville State
33.2
Jacksonville State win probability: 83%
Margin (Jacksonville State − Sam Houston): 14.7 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:14 PM | 14.6 | 51.7 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:25 PM | 14.6 | 51.7 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:21 PM | 14.7 | 51.7 | 83% |