2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Sam Houston
Predicted scoreLean
Kennesaw State
29.3
Sam Houston
21.6
Sam Houston win probability: 31%
Margin (Sam Houston − Kennesaw State): -7.7 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:35 PM | -7.7 | 51.0 | 31% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:39 PM | -7.6 | 51.0 | 31% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:04 PM | -7.7 | 51.0 | 31% |