2026 Week 7 · Oct 15, 2026, 12:00 AM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston
Predicted scoreLikely
Western Kentucky
30.7
Sam Houston
20.6
Sam Houston win probability: 26%
Margin (Sam Houston − Western Kentucky): -10.0 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:36 PM | -10.0 | 51.3 | 26% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:32 PM | -10.0 | 51.3 | 26% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:40 PM | -10.0 | 51.3 | 26% |