Western Kentucky

Conference USA

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	vs Delaware	20.6–28.5	69%
Week 10	@ Middle Tennessee	23.8–28.3	61%
Week 11	vs Jacksonville State	25.6–27.0	54%
Week 12	@ Liberty	29.7–21.2	29%
Week 13	vs Kennesaw State	23.4–26.5	58%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Nevada	49–14	25.2–26.3	36.2
Week 2	@ Georgia	70–20	42.4–10.4	18.0
Week 3	@ Indiana	38–0	44.8–10.5	3.7
Week 4	vs Mercyhurst	7–52	—	—
Week 5	@ New Mexico State	34–13	26.9–28.0	22.1
Week 6	vs Missouri State	13–34	23.6–24.8	19.8
Week 7	@ Sam Houston	3–16	24.9–27.0	10.9