Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Sam Houston | 24–41 | 22.1–28.9 | 10.2 |
| Week 2 | @ Toledo | 45–21 | 27.1–25.2 | 22.1 |
| Week 4 | vs Nevada | 16–31 | 22.3–30.9 | 6.4 |
| Week 5 | @ Missouri State | 22–27 | 24.4–25.9 | 3.5 |
| Week 6 | @ Delaware | 24–27 | 27.5–23.3 | 7.2 |
| Week 8 | vs Florida International | 25–6 | 18.6–31.2 | 31.6 |
| Week 9 | @ Louisiana Tech | 27–28 | 26.3–24.0 | 3.3 |
| Week 10 | vs New Mexico State | 16–35 | 24.0–32.2 | 10.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Middle Tennessee | 26–42 | 23.8–33.0 | 6.7 |
| Week 13 | @ LSU | 13–10 | 35.1–17.7 | 14.5 |
| Week 14 | @ Jacksonville State | 37–34 | 27.3–25.8 | 1.5 |
| Week 1 | @ Southern Miss | 16–27 | 21.7–33.1 | 0.4 |