2025 Week 6 · Oct 3, 2025, 11:00 PM · Delaware Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Delaware
Predicted scoreLean
Western Kentucky
23.3
Delaware
27.5
Delaware win probability: 61%
Margin (Delaware − Western Kentucky): 4.2 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Western Kentucky 27 – Delaware 24 (margin error 7.2, total error 0.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.